Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CFR Cluj win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CFR Cluj win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CFR Cluj would win this match.