Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 75.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a win it was 1-0 (3.47%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Porto |
8.27% | 16.66% | 75.07% |
Both teams to score 40.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% | 45.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% | 68.29% |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.81% | 55.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.01% | 87.99% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.42% | 10.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.65% | 34.35% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.47% 2-1 @ 2.32% 2-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.45% Total : 8.27% | 1-1 @ 7.8% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.42% Total : 16.66% | 0-2 @ 14.73% 0-1 @ 13.11% 0-3 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-4 @ 6.19% 1-4 @ 3.68% 0-5 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-6 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.48% Total : 75.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |