Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
2 - 3
Toulouse

Tardieu (38'), Batubinsika (63')
Wadji (30'), Davitashvili (70'), Bouchouari (84')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kamanzi (10'), King (15'), Gboho (58')
Casseres Jr (70'), Restes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 0-2 St Etienne
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lens
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Toulouse
19.04% ( -0.09)	20.81% ( -0.39)	60.14% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.6% (

1.67)

39.4% (

-1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.26% (

1.73)

61.74% (

-1.72)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

0.89)

34.22% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

0.94)

70.91% (

-0.94)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

0.67)

12.73% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.02% (

1.37)

38.97% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 19.04%

Toulouse 60.14%

Draw 20.81%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 19.04%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.81%	1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.13) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.69% Total : 60.14%