Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.