Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 3
Monaco

Davitashvili (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Akliouche (2'), Elmusrati (68'), Balogun (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 St Etienne
Saturday, April 26 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Monaco
18.27% ( 0.66)	19.01% ( 0.23)	62.71% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 62.65% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.06% (

0.09)

31.94% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.5% (

0.11)

53.49% (

-0.11)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.48% (

0.74)

30.52% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.26% (

0.87)

66.74% (

-0.86)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.18% (

-0.18)

9.82% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.39% (

-0.42)

32.6% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 18.27%

Monaco 62.71%

Draw 19.01%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.53% Total : 18.27%	1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.01%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.08) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 62.71%