Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Monaco
Apr 12, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Wilfried Singo 9' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 34' goal
  • Breel Embolo 58' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Denis Zakaria 82' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 87'

Monaco vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 6.00pm
Brest 2 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Mika Biereth

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 7.45pm
Marseille 3 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result

Monaco 44.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 23.1%
Marseille 32.02% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.46% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 37.7% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 40.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 59.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 22.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 77.82% ▲ (+0.06)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 82.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 17.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 52.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 47.54% ▼ (-0.06)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 76.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 23.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 42.72% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 57.28% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Monaco 44.88%
Draw 23.09%
Marseille 32.02%
Monaco
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.09%
Marseille
1-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.02%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Marseille
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Velodrome
Monaco
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 89' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Golovin 41'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Marseille
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Velodrome
Monaco
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 38' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 50' goal
  • Emran Soglo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 7'
  • redcard Guillermo Maripan 11'
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 75'
  • yellowcard Thilo Kehrer 82'
  • redcard Denis Zakaria 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Monaco
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Maghnes Akliouche 8' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 23' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 42' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 52' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 59' yellowcard
  • Eliot Matazo 76' yellowcard
  • Soungoutou Magassa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 1'
  • goal Samuel Gigot 18'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 54'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 59'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Clauss 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Marseille
Jan 28, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Monaco
  • Alexis Sanchez 47' goal
  • goal Jordan Veretout 17' (OG)
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Monaco
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Marseille
  • Wissam Ben Yedder 45' goal
  • Kevin Volland 72' goal
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 35'
  • goal Jordan Veretout 83'
  • goal Sead Kolasinac 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Marseille
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Monaco
  • Luan Peres 53' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sampaoli 82' yellowcard
  • Boubacar Kamara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 56'
  • goal Gelson Martins 58'

Form Data

Brest 2 - 1 Monaco
Monaco 2 - 1 Nice
Angers 0 - 2 Monaco
Toulouse 1 - 1 Monaco
Monaco 3 - 0 Reims
Lille 2 - 1 Monaco
Marseille 3 - 2 Toulouse
Reims 3 - 1 Marseille
PSG 3 - 1 Marseille
Marseille 0 - 1 Lens
Marseille 2 - 0 Nantes
Auxerre 3 - 0 Marseille