Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
3 - 0
Marseille

Minamino (34'), Embolo (58'), Zakaria (82' pen.)
Singo (9'), Kehrer (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 5 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Marseille
44.88% ( 0.15)	23.1%	32.02% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.29% (

-0.07)

37.7% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.05% (

-0.07)

59.95% (

0.07)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

0.03)

17.24% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45% (

0.05)

47.54% (

-0.06)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67% (

-0.12)

23.32% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.72% (

-0.17)

57.28% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Monaco 44.88%

Marseille 32.02%

Draw 23.09%

Monaco	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.02%