Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 1
Rennes

Gboho (28'), Donnum (82')
Cresswell (14'), Martinez (69'), Restes (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalimuendo (65')
Rouault (45+2'), Wooh (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Rennes
Saturday, April 26 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Rennes
32.99% ( 2.28)	24.68% ( 0.34)	42.32% ( -2.61)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13% (

-0.66)

44.87% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

-0.64)

67.23% (

0.65)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

1.11)

26.19% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

1.46)

61.28% (

-1.46)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-1.44)

21.26% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.83% (

-2.28)

54.17% (

2.29)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 32.99%

Rennes 42.32%

Draw 24.68%

Toulouse	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 5% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.99%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.32%