Ligue 1
Gameweek
29
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-
Charlie Cresswell
42'
-
Charlie Cresswell
64'
-
Matias Fernandez Pardo
21'
-
Mitchel Bakker
45'+4'
-
Alexsandro
71'
-
Ethan Mbappe Lottin
85'
Toulouse vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Toulouse
31.8%
▲
(+0.30)
Draw
25.91%
▲
(+0.37)
Lille
42.29%
▼
(-0.66)
Both Teams to Score:
53.53%
▼
(-1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.36%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 2.5
50.64%
▲
(+1.45)
Over 3.5
27.46%
▼
(-1.28)
Under 3.5
72.55%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 4.5
12.95%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 4.5
87.05%
▲
(+0.86)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
70.21%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
29.79%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 1.5
34.14%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
65.87%
▲
(+0.64)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
76.24%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 0.5
23.76%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 1.5
42.1%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 1.5
57.9%
▲
(+1.39)
Score analysis
Toulouse
31.8%
Draw
25.91%
Lille
42.29%
Toulouse
1-0
@
8.57%
▲
(+0.37)
2-1 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.8%
2-1 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.8%
Draw
1-1
@
12.31%
▲
(+0.20)
0-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
Lille
0-1
@
10.17%
▲
(+0.31)
1-2 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 42.29%
1-2 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 42.29%