Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 2
Lille

Cresswell (42')
Cresswell (64')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fernandez Pardo (21'), Bakker (45+4')
Alexsandro (71'), Mbappe Lottin (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lille
Saturday, April 5 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lille
31.8% ( 0.3)	25.91% ( 0.37)	42.29% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 53.53% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.36% (

-1.43)

50.64% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.46% (

-1.28)

72.55% (

1.29)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

-0.52)

29.79% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.63)

65.87% (

0.64)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

-0.94)

23.76% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1% (

-1.37)

57.9% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 31.8%

Lille 42.29%

Draw 25.91%

Toulouse	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.8%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.29%