Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 4
Brest

Sierro (65'), King (78')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bourgault (22'), Pereira Lage (26'), Doumbia (62'), Camara (90')
Lala (24'), Lees-Melou (28'), Pereira Lage (68'), Bizot (86'), Luc Evrad Zogbe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, March 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, March 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Brest
38.85% ( -0.09)	26.53% ( -0.03)	34.62% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.28% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

0.13)

52.58% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76% (

0.11)

74.24% (

-0.12)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.01)

26.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.02)

61.61% (

-0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07% (

0.14)

28.93% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.19% (

0.17)

64.8% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 38.84%

Brest 34.62%

Draw 26.53%

Toulouse	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.84%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.62%