Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Vincent Sierro 65' goal
  • Joshua King 78' goal
  • goal Justin Bourgault 22'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 24'
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 26'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 28'
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 68'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 86'
  • yellowcard Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe 87'
  • goal Mahdi Camara 90'

Toulouse vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 4.15pm
Strasbourg 2 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zakaria Aboukhlal

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 4.15pm
Brest 0 - 0 Reims
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 38.85% (-0.10)
Draw 26.53% (-0.03)
Brest 34.62% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.41% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 52.58% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 25.76% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 74.24% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 11.84% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 88.15% (-0.08)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 73.55% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.44% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.38% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.61% (-0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 71.07% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 28.93% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 35.19% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 64.8% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Toulouse 38.84%
Draw 26.53%
Brest 34.62%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 38.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.53%
Brest
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.83% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.88% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (-98.30)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.62%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mama Balde 21' goal
  • Mathias Pereira Lage 34' yellowcard
  • Eric Roy 36' redcard
  • Eric Roy 36' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 19'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Christian Mawissa 53' yellowcard
  • goal Mahdi Camara 48'
  • goal Jordan Amavi 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 83'
  • goal Kenny Lala 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mahdi Camara 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 10'
  • goal Frank Magri 27'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Steve Mounie 33' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 63' goal
  • Mahdi Camara 84' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 10'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 65' goal
  • goal Steve Mounie 18'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 11, 2020 7.00pm
2
5
HT : 2 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Bafode Diakite 16' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 21' goal
  • William Vainqueur 84' yellowcard
  • goal Yoann Court 7'
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 72'
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 77'
  • goal Hiang'a Mbock 79'
  • goal Irvin Cardona 85'