Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
| 43.38% ( | 22.9% ( | 33.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.9% ( | 36.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% ( | 58.2% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( | 17.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.54% ( | 47.46% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( | 21.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% ( | 54.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 4.2% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.58% Total : 33.72% |