We said: Lyon 1-1 Rennes
The psychological effect of the defeat at Man United could still be getting the better of some Lyon players, and while Fonseca should revert to a stronger XI for this clash compared to the one he named against Saint-Etienne, it may not be plain sailing.
Rennes enter the fixture on the back of consecutive victories, with their eyes now set on breaking into the top half, and they will cause the hosts a few problems in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
-0.31) 
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