MX23RW : Monday, May 12 06:44:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Lens logo

Toulouse
1 - 1
Lens

Gboho (47')
Donnum (63'), Casseres Jr (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Aynaoui (61')
Thomasson (51'), Medina (57'), Mendy (60'), Said (87'), Zaroury (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Lens

After standout victories at Lyon and Brest recently, Lens should be confident of repeating the trick on the road once again this weekend. Toulouse have struggled on their own turf this calendar year and are likely to suffer a 15th defeat of the league campaign on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawLens
33.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.5% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)48.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.017999999999997 0.02)70.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.14% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.016000000000005 0.02)23.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.38% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 33.46%
    Lens 41.04%
    Draw 25.49%
ToulouseDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.04%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lens

Toulouse
21.4%
Draw
17.9%
Lens
60.7%
28
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2025 2pm
Gameweek 16
Lens
0-1
Toulouse

Frankowski (8'), Danso (31'), Fulgini (64'), Koffi (77'), Ojediran (90+6')
Costa (61')
Aboukhlal (73' pen.)
Cresswell (10'), Gboho (77')
Jan 28, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 19
Toulouse
0-2
Lens

Martinez (37'), Donnum (40'), Nicolaisen (45'), Suazo (49')
Costa (42'), Diouf (55')
Said (36'), Haidara (83'), Sotoca (90')
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lens
2-1
Toulouse
Said (45+2'), Guilavogui (84')
Gradit (54'), Wahi (75')
Gelabert (33')
Donnum (69')
May 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
0-1
Lens
Openda (33')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Lens
3-0
Toulouse
Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG33256289345581
2Marseille33195970452562
3MonacoMonaco33187863372661
4Nice33169860411957
5Lille33169850351557
6StrasbourgStrasbourg33169854411357
7Lyon331661163461754
8Brest33155135253-150
9Lens33147123839-149
10Auxerre33119134748-142
11Rennes33132184946341
12Toulouse33109144141039
13Angers33106173251-1936
14Reims3389163245-1333
15NantesNantes33712143652-1633
16Le HavreLe Havre3394203769-3231
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3386193774-3730
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3344252376-5316


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