Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 1
Lens

Gboho (47')
Donnum (63'), Casseres Jr (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Aynaoui (61')
Thomasson (51'), Medina (57'), Mendy (60'), Said (87'), Zaroury (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lens
33.46% ( -0.01)	25.5% ( -0)	41.04% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

0.02)

48.4% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

0.02)

70.54% (

-0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.01)

27.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

0.01)

63.14% (

-0)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.02)

23.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.02)

57.38% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 33.46%

Lens 41.04%

Draw 25.49%

Toulouse	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.04%