Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Auxerre |
| 62.12% ( | 20.47% ( | 17.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.46% ( | 40.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( | 62.93% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( | 12.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.46% ( | 38.54% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( | 36.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.52% ( | 73.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 62.12% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 1-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 17.41% |