Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.