Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 3
Lens

Lees-Melou (13')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Koyalipou (17'), El Aynaoui (45+7' pen.), Said (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 3-3 Brest
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 0-2 Reims
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lens
31.71% ( 0.03)	25.62% ( -0.01)	42.66% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

0.04)

49.44% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

0.03)

71.48% (

-0.03)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

0.04)

29.25% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

0.04)

65.2% (

-0.04)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

0.01)

23.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

0.01)

56.88% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Brest 31.71%

Lens 42.66%

Draw 25.62%

Brest	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.71%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.66%