Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Brest
Apr 20, 2025 4.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 13' goal
  • Niakhate Ndiaye 45'+5' redcard
  • goal Goduine Koyalipou 17'
  • goal Neil El Aynaoui 45'+7'
  • goal Wesley Said 90'

Brest vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 2.00pm
St Etienne 3 - 3 Brest
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
Lens 0 - 2 Reims
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Neil El Aynaoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result

Brest 31.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 25.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Lens 42.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.34% ▼ (-0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 70.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 65.2% ▼ (-0.05)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Brest 31.71%
Draw 25.62%
Lens 42.66%
Brest
1-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 31.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
Lens
0-1 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 42.66%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Lens
Aug 25, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest
  • Remy Labeau 17' yellowcard
  • Jhoanner Chavez 19' goal
  • Julien Le Cardinal 45' goal
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 83' yellowcard
  • Deiver Machado 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 25'
  • yellowcard Romain Faivre 67'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Lens
Mar 9, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 7' yellowcard
  • Ruben Aguilar 32' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 69'
  • yellowcard Martin Satriano 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Brest
Aug 13, 2023 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 35' yellowcard
  • Romain Del Castillo 45'+2' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Kenny Lala 56' goal
  • Romain Del Castillo 87' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 10'
  • goal Deiver Machado 22'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 48'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 52'
  • redcard Adrien Thomasson 82'
  • yellowcard Brice Samba 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Brest
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Lens
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 54' goal
  • goal Jonathan Gradit 83'
Coupe de France
Brest
Jan 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens
  • Islam Slimani 19' goal
  • goal Wesley Said 5'
  • goal Facundo Medina 30'
  • goal Adrien Thomasson 37'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Lens
Aug 7, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest
  • Florian Sotoca 27' goal
  • David Costa 38' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 62' goal
  • Florian Sotoca 65' goal
  • Kevin Danso 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 31'
  • yellowcard Youcef Belaili 43'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 62'
  • goal Haris Belkebla 66'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 71'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 82'

Form Data

St Etienne 3 - 3 Brest
Brest 2 - 1 Monaco
Toulouse 2 - 4 Brest
Brest 0 - 0 Reims
Brest 2 - 0 Angers
Lyon 2 - 1 Brest
Lens 0 - 2 Reims
Lens 1 - 0 St Etienne
Lille 1 - 0 Lens
Lens 1 - 0 Rennes
Marseille 0 - 1 Lens
Lens 3 - 4 Le Havre