Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
1 - 2
Lens

Mikautadze (79')
Niakhate (13'), Fofana (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Koyalipou (21'), Zaroury (85')
Mendy (54'), Machado (64'), Medina (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Rennes
Saturday, April 26 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 0-4 Auxerre
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Lens had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Lens
51.29% ( 0.48)	22.19% ( -0.01)	26.52% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 62.81% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.11% (

-0.34)

36.89% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.93% (

-0.37)

59.07% (

0.37)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

0.04)

14.62% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.26% (

0.07)

42.74% (

-0.07)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

-0.51)

26.43% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4% (

-0.68)

61.6% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Lyon 51.29%

Lens 26.52%

Draw 22.19%

Lyon	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.29% Total : 51.29%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.52%