Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
64.45% ( -0.21) | 20.24% ( 0.1) | 15.31% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.39% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.51% ( -0.23) | 43.48% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.12% ( -0.23) | 65.88% ( 0.23) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.24% ( -0.13) | 12.76% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.97% ( -0.27) | 39.02% ( 0.27) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.91% ( -0) | 41.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.36% ( -0) | 77.63% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 64.45% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.3% 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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