Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
51.21% ( -0.23) | 24.72% ( -0.22) | 24.08% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( 1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% ( 1.31) | 50.33% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% ( 1.15) | 72.27% ( -1.15) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( 0.42) | 19.65% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% ( 0.68) | 51.62% ( -0.68) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% ( 1.14) | 35.57% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% ( 1.15) | 72.34% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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