Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
2 - 1
Pisa

Botteghin (12'), Rodriguez (68')
Caligara (46'), D'Uffizi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
D'Alessandro (53')
Marin (10')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 2-2 Ascoli
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Pisa 2-2 Sudtirol
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
AscoliDrawPisa
37.44% (-0.13 -0.13)29.17% (0.053000000000001 0.05)33.39% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.26% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.49% (-0.166 -0.17)62.5% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.89% (-0.122 -0.12)82.11% (0.121 0.12)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (-0.166 -0.17)32.11% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (-0.19 -0.19)68.59% (0.18799999999999 0.19)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)34.8% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)71.54% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 37.44%
    Pisa 33.38%
    Draw 29.16%
AscoliDrawPisa
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.17% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.16%
0-1 @ 11.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 33.38%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Pisa
1-0
Ascoli
Mlakar (44')
D'Alessandro (10'), Moreo (15'), Caracciolo (45+1'), Barbieri (55'), Piccinini (76')

Giovane (66'), Quaranta (69'), Masini (81')
May 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Ascoli
2-1
Pisa
Mendes (53'), Marsura (73')
Masucci (82')
Dec 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
Pisa
2-0
Ascoli
Torregrossa (45+3' pen.), Canestrelli (87')
Mar 16, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Ascoli
2-0
Pisa
Dionisi (41', 45')
Tsadjout (21')

Birindelli (38'), Cohen (90+2')
Nov 1, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 11
Pisa
1-1
Ascoli
Masucci (24')
Birindelli (23'), Leverbe (39'), Beruatto (42')
Dionisi (40' pen.)
Dionisi (21'), Buchel (32'), Iliev (60'), Collocolo (90')