Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Nuremberg
65.44% ( -0.29)	17.48% ( 0.19)	17.07% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 66.24% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.55% (

-0.74)

26.44% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.22% (

-0.95)

46.78% (

0.95)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.29% (

-0.25)

7.71% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.54% (

-0.65)

27.46% (

0.65)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.38)

28.23% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.49)

63.93% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 65.44%

Nuremberg 17.08%

Draw 17.48%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.44% Total : 65.44%	1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 17.48%	1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.83% Total : 17.08%