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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 26.48% ( | 26.25% ( | 47.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( | 54.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( | 75.89% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( | 35.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( | 72.57% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( | 23.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( | 56.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0-3 @ 4.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0-4 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.27% |