Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.