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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 40.2% ( | 28.58% ( | 31.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.1% ( | 60.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% ( | 80.91% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( | 29.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( | 65.69% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( | 35.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.73% ( | 72.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 4.17% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.21% |