Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
1 - 1
Mauritania

Baruti (18')
Sesinyi (28'), Johnson (53'), Velaphi (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koita (7')
Bouna Amar (17'), Hacen Houeibib (77'), Abeid (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Egypt
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Mauritania
37.11% ( -0.13)	29.48% ( -0.05)	33.41% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 43.43% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.49% (

0.17)

63.51% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.16% (

0.12)

82.84% (

-0.13)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

0.01)

32.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

0.01)

69.41% (

-0.01)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

0.22)

35.33% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

0.23)

72.09% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Botswana 37.1%

Mauritania 33.4%

Draw 29.47%

Botswana	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.1%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.47%	0-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.4%