Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
1 - 0
Cape Verde

Sesinyi (52')
Johnson (2'), Ramotse (22'), Seakanyeng (79'), Kebatho (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arcanjo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Cape Verde 0-1 Botswana
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Cape Verde 0-1 Botswana
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Cape Verde
39.09% ( 0.1)	29.29% ( 0.14)	31.62% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 43.59% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.85% (

-0.49)

63.14% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.42% (

-0.36)

82.57% (

0.35)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0.19)

31.42% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

-0.22)

67.8% (

0.21)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57% (

-0.44)

36.43% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.78% (

-0.45)

73.21% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Botswana 39.09%

Cape Verde 31.62%

Draw 29.28%

Botswana	Draw	Cape Verde
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.09%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.62%