Cape Verde national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde
Botswana national football team

Cape Verde
0 - 1
Botswana


Costa (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Orebonye (2')
Velaphi (5'), Mohutsiwa (35'), Phoko (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cape Verde and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawBotswana
58.13% (0.114 0.11)27.18% (0.361 0.36)14.7% (-0.473 -0.47)
Both teams to score 32.66% (-1.473 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.88% (-1.451 -1.45)68.12% (1.454 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.99% (-0.97 -0.97)86.01% (0.974 0.97)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (-0.60400000000001 -0.6)24.17% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)58.5% (0.871 0.87)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.07% (-1.585 -1.59)56.93% (1.589 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11% (-0.913 -0.91)89% (0.91600000000001 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 58.12%
    Botswana 14.7%
    Draw 27.17%
Cape VerdeDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 19.54% (0.69 0.69)
2-0 @ 13.87% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 58.12%
0-0 @ 13.76% (0.72 0.72)
1-1 @ 11% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 2.2% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 14.7%

How you voted: Cape Verde vs Botswana

Cape Verde
77.1%
Draw
17.1%
Botswana
5.7%
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