Melbourne Victory
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2020 at 10am UK
AAMI Park

Victory
0 - 2
Beijing Guoan


Traore (37'), Ansell (40'), Broxham (63'), Ryan (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Viera (9'), Zhang (35')
Wang (50')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Melbourne Victory and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawBeijing Guoan
24.63%22.98%52.39%
Both teams to score 58.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67%42.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26%64.74%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24%30.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32%45.68%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 24.63%
    Beijing Guoan 52.39%
    Draw 22.98%
Melbourne VictoryDrawBeijing Guoan
2-1 @ 6.3%
1-0 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.46%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-1 @ 9.07%
0-2 @ 8.26%
1-3 @ 5.91%
0-3 @ 5.01%
2-3 @ 3.48%
1-4 @ 2.69%
0-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.39%

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