Australian A-League | Gameweek 28

Apr 27, 2025 at 6am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Francois (62', 62')
Verstraete (52'), Verstraete (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Majekodunmi (24'), Majekodunmi (24'), Amos (57'), Amos (57')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, April 19 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, April 12 at 12.45pm in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 74.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 10.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 3-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Perth Glory
74.69% ( -1.18)	14.77% ( 0.77)	10.54% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.09% (

-2.78)

28.91% (

2.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.13% (

-3.48)

49.87% (

3.48)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.46% (

-0.81)

6.54% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.63% (

-2.27)

24.37% (

2.27)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

-1.37)

38.65% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

-1.33)

75.39% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 74.69%

Perth Glory 10.54%

Draw 14.77%

Auckland FC	Draw	Perth Glory
2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.79) 4-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.34) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.27) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.18) 5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.22) 6-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.23) Other @ 4.47% Total : 74.69%	1-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.22% Total : 14.77%	1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 10.54%