Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.17%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 22.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 57.17% ( | 20.37% ( | 22.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.67% ( | 32.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.05% ( | 53.95% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% ( | 11.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.98% ( | 36.02% ( |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( | 26.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( | 62.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-2 @ 4.51% ( 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 5-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3% Total : 57.17% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.76% Total : 22.46% |