Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Mar 29, 2025 at 6am UK

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FC
2 - 3
Melbourne City

Courtney-Perkins (28', 28'), Costa (39', 39')
Courtney-Perkins (19'), Courtney-Perkins (19')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Memeti (5', 5'), Caputo (35', 35'), Lopane (61', 61')
Behich (45+5'), Behich (45+5'), Atkinson (59'), Atkinson (59'), Beach (79'), Beach (79'), Wong (90+5'), Wong (90+5')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Wellington
Sunday, March 16 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Wednesday, March 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
50.03% ( 0.22)	21.12% ( -0.04)	28.84% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 68.94% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.26% (

0.04)

29.74% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.13% (

0.05)

50.87% (

-0.05)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

0.08)

12.49% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.53% (

0.17)

38.46% (

-0.17)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78% (

-0.09)

21.22% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.88% (

-0.14)

54.12% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 50.03%

Melbourne City 28.84%

Draw 21.12%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 50.03%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.12%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.84%