Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Apr 19, 2025 at 8am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
0 - 2
Auckland FC

FT(HT: 0-0)

Verstraete (53'), May (89')
Elliot (59'), Sakai (79'), Francois (90+5')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-3 Victory
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Auckland FC
57.03% ( -0.02)	21.5% ( 0.01)	21.47% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.03% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88% (

-0.01)

39.11% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.56% (

-0.01)

61.44% (

0.01)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

-0.01)

13.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33% (

-0.02)

40.66% (

0.02)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

0.01)

31.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

0.02)

68.11% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 57.03%

Auckland FC 21.47%

Draw 21.5%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Auckland FC
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 57.03%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 21.47%