World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 21, 2023 at 9am UK

Jinnah Sports Stadium

Pakistan
1 - 6
Tajikistan

Nabi (21')
Ghazi (60')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Kamolov (9', 66'), Soirov (13'), Umarbaev (26'), Panshanbe (45'), Samiev (90+1')
Umarbaev (4'), Safarov (35'), Juraboev (78')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Pakistan and Tajikistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pakistan

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 4-0 Pakistan
Thursday, November 16 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Tajikistan

Last Game: Tajikistan 1-1 Jordan
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.83%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Pakistan win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
Pakistan	Draw	Tajikistan
11.5% ( 0.12)	19.84% ( 0.07)	68.66% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 42.27% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

0.02)

50.1% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

0.02)

72.07% (

-0.02)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.89% (

0.22)

51.11% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.58% (

0.15)

85.41% (

-0.15)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

-0.05)

13.55% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.36% (

-0.1)

40.63% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Pakistan 11.5%

Tajikistan 68.65%

Draw 19.84%

Pakistan	Draw	Tajikistan
1-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.5%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.84%	0-1 @ 13.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 13.83% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 68.65%