Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.5%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.