World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Al Fateh Club Stadium

Saudi Arabia
4 - 0
Pakistan

Al-Shehri (6', 48' pen.), Ghareeb (90+1'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dost (8'), Moosa (47'), Moosa (47'), Umar Hayat (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

Pakistan

Last Game: Pakistan 1-0 Cambodia
Tuesday, October 17 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.5%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Pakistan
69.58% ( -0.69)	19.73% ( 0.4)	10.68% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 40.01% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.34% (

-0.83)

51.65% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.56% (

-0.73)

73.43% (

0.72)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

-0.46)

13.75% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.96% (

-0.92)

41.03% (

0.92)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.39% (

0.04)

53.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.97% (

0.03)

87.03% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 69.57%

Pakistan 10.68%

Draw 19.73%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Pakistan
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 14.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 69.57%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.73%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.68%