World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg

Oct 12, 2023 at 1pm UK

Phnom Penh National Olympic Stadium

Cambodia
0 - 0
Pakistan

(Pakistan win 1-0 on aggregate)

Choun (27')

Waheed (27'), Umar Hayat (61'), Shah (87')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Cambodia and Pakistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambodia

Last Game: Cambodia 4-0 Macao
Monday, September 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Pakistan

Last Game: Pakistan 1-3 Djibouti
Saturday, June 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 73.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Cambodia	Draw	Pakistan
73.16% ( 0.08)	16.29% ( -0.05)	10.55% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.22% (

0.14)

36.78% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.05% (

0.15)

58.94% (

-0.15)

Cambodia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.3% (

0.05)

8.69% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.07% (

0.13)

29.93% (

-0.13)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79% (

0.04)

44.2% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.71% (

0.03)

80.29% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Cambodia 73.16%

Pakistan 10.55%

Draw 16.29%

Cambodia	Draw	Pakistan
2-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 73.16%	1-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.29%	0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 10.55%