Friendlies 3

Sep 11, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Cambodia
4 - 0
Macao

Sieng (18', 20'), Soeuy (39'), Bunheang (80')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Almeida (12')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Cambodia and Macao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambodia

Last Game: Cambodia 1-1 Hong Kong
Thursday, September 7 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Macao

Last Game: Macao 0-1 Bhutan
Wednesday, September 6 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Macao had a probability of 10.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Macao win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambodia would win this match.

Result
Cambodia	Draw	Macao
72.54% ( -0.03)	16.67% ( -0.04)	10.8% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.12% (

0.46)

37.89% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.86% (

0.49)

60.14% (

-0.48)

Cambodia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

0.11)

9.11% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.06% (

0.26)

30.94% (

-0.26)

Macao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.5% (

0.45)

44.5% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.47% (

0.37)

80.53% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Cambodia 72.53%

Macao 10.8%

Draw 16.67%

Cambodia	Draw	Macao
2-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 72.53%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 16.67%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.8%