Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Singapore win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Singapore win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.