Kuwait national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
TBC
Tajikistan national football team

Kuwait
2 - 1
Tajikistan

Tareq Ali (9'), Al Khaldi (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dzhalilov (90')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Kuwait and Tajikistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kuwait

Last Game: Kuwait 2-0 Philippines
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Tajikistan

Last Game: UAE 0-0 Tajikistan
Saturday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Kuwait had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.28%) and 1-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Kuwait win was 1-0 (13.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
KuwaitDrawTajikistan
32.51% (0.037000000000006 0.04)31.09% (0.013000000000002 0.01)36.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 39.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.55% (-0.035 -0.04)68.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)86.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Kuwait Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.72% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)75.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)35.96% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.25% (-0.055 -0.05)72.74% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kuwait 32.51%
    Tajikistan 36.4%
    Draw 31.08%
KuwaitDrawTajikistan
1-0 @ 13.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 32.51%
0-0 @ 13.92% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 13.51%
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.08%
0-1 @ 14.24%
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 36.4%