Queen's Park
Scottish Challenge Cup | Final
Mar 30, 2025 at 4.10pm UK
Ochilview Park
Livingston logo

Queen's Park
0 - 5
Livingston


Longridge (41'), Welsh (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGowan (26'), May (45'), Yengi (50'), Shinnie (82'), Brandon (90+1')
Tait (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Challenge Cup clash between Queen's Park and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Livingston 1-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Queen's ParkDrawLivingston
20.03% (-0.012 -0.01)22.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)57.25% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)46.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18%68.82%
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (-0.012 -0.01)74.13% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Queen's Park 20.03%
    Livingston 57.24%
    Draw 22.72%
Queen's ParkDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.03%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 10.95%
0-2 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 6.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-4 @ 2.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.36%
0-5 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.24%

Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 20
Queen's Park
2-0
Livingston
Turner (38', 52' og.)
Mauchin (36'), Finlayson (67'), Scott (67')
Mauchin (72')

Clarke (7'), Fraser (64'), Scott (68'), Finlayson (68')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Livingston
1-1
Queen's Park
May (50')
Kelly (29'), Clarke (62'), May (70'), Shinnie (86')
Drozd (59')
Fieldson (70'), Ferrie (90')
MacGregor (63')
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Queen's Park
1-1
Livingston
Rudden (36')
Clarke (60')
Finlayson (42'), Yengi (54'), Sole (87')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Livingston
4-0
Queen's Park
Todorov (18'), Mullen (70'), Mullin (80'), Cadden (90')
Crighton (57'), Jacobs (60'), Longridge (83'), Halkett (84')

McGeever (69')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Queen's Park
1-1
Livingston
Zanatta (20')
Orsi (27')
Pittman (11')
Lithgow (27'), Longridge (31'), de Vita (59'), Byrne (64'), Todorov (82')