Queen's Park
Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park

Queen's Park
3 - 1
Rangers U21s

Thomas (47'), Turner (55'), Webster (68' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
McKinnon (26')
Eadie (22'), Fraser (30'), Curtis (84')
Nsiala (36')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Queen's Park and Rangers Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queen's Park 0-1 Falkirk
Friday, November 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Rangers U21s 4-1 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Falkirk281.87Miller
2Ayr231.53Dowds
3Hamilton191.36Shaw
4Livingston191.36Pittman
5Partick171.21Graham
6Queen's Park161.07Rudden
7Raith Rovers130.93Easton
8Dunfermline110.73Kane
9Morton110.79Stuparevic
10Airdrieonians60.43Reid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Rangers Under-21s had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.23%) and 3-1 (6.2%). The likeliest Rangers Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.

Result
Queen's ParkDrawRangers Under-21s
50.75% (-0.726 -0.73)21.42% (0.177 0.18)27.83% (0.545 0.55)
Both teams to score 66.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.98% (-0.444 -0.44)32.01% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.42% (-0.518 -0.52)53.58% (0.516 0.52)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (-0.377 -0.38)13.07% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.32% (-0.77 -0.77)39.67% (0.76600000000001 0.77)
Rangers Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.113 0.11)23.01% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.168 0.17)56.81% (-0.171 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Queen's Park 50.75%
    Rangers Under-21s 27.83%
    Draw 21.42%
Queen's ParkDrawRangers Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.109 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 27.83%