Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers Under-21s win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers Under-21s would win this match.