Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 56.83% ( | 22.35% ( | 20.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( | 43.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( | 66.21% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( | 15.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.15% ( | 43.85% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( | 34.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( | 71.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 20.82% |