Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 64.7% ( | 21.01% ( | 14.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( | 48.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( | 70.87% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( | 14.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.82% ( | 42.18% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.26% ( | 45.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.48% ( | 81.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.38% Total : 64.69% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 1-3 @ 1.02% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.26% Total : 14.3% |