Scottish Championship | Gameweek 14

Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
3 - 2
Queen's Park

Henderson (31' pen.), McKenzie (39'), Oakley (76')
Howley (84'), Hislop (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hinds (81'), Turner (83')
Thomson (57'), Hickey-Fugaccia (73'), Drozd (89')
Hickey-Fugaccia (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: East Kilbride 3-2 Ayr
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Queen's Park

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Queen's Park 2-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Queen's Park
48.62% ( -1.35)	24.68% ( 0.55)	26.71% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

-1.76)

48.07% (

1.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77% (

-1.64)

70.23% (

1.64)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.19% (

-1.23)

19.81% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.11% (

-2.04)

51.89% (

2.04)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

-0.29)

32.16% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.36% (

-0.34)

68.64% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 48.61%

Queen's Park 26.71%

Draw 24.68%

Ayr United	Draw	Queen's Park
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.61%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.64% Total : 26.71%