Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 31' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 39' goal
  • George Oakley 76' goal
  • Ryan Howley 84' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 57'
  • yellowcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 73'
  • goal Josh Hinds 81'
  • goal Jack Turner 83'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 89'
  • redcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 90'+3'

Ayr United vs Queen's Park - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
Morton 1 - 1 Ayr
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
George Oakley

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Queen's Park 2 - 1 Dunfermline
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Zak Rudden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result

Ayr United 48.62% (-1.36)
Draw 24.68% (+0.56)
Queen's Park 26.71% (+0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.4% (-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.94% (-1.76)
Under 2.5 48.07% (+1.77)
Over 3.5 29.77% (-1.64)
Under 3.5 70.23% (+1.65)
Over 4.5 14.51% (-1.15)
Under 4.5 85.49% (+1.15)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 80.19% (-1.24)
Under 0.5 19.81% (+1.24)
Over 1.5 48.11% (-2.04)
Under 1.5 51.89% (+2.05)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 32.16% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 31.36% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 68.64% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Ayr United 48.61%
Draw 24.68%
Queen's Park 26.71%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.31% (+0.35)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.28)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.20)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 6.37% (+0.46)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.68%
Queen's Park
0-1 @ 7.23% (+0.46)
1-2 @ 6.64% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.1% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.51% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 26.71%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Cammy Kerr 35' goal
  • Cammy Kerr 72' yellowcard
  • Magnus Mackenzie 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 13'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 58'
  • yellowcard Roy Syla 78'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 30
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Jack Sanders 78' goal
  • goal Ruari Paton 19'
  • goal Cillian Sheridan 59'
  • yellowcard Sean Welsh 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Hampden Park
  • Sean Welsh 39' yellowcard
  • Jack Turner 41' yellowcard
  • Ruari Paton 63' goal
  • Sean Welsh 65' redcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 40'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 62'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 74'
  • yellowcard Fraser Bryden 87'
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 89'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 23' goal
  • Anton Dowds 38' goal
  • yellowcard Dom Thomas 22'
  • goal Alex Bannon 58'
  • yellowcard Thomas Robson 62'
  • goal Ruari Paton 90'+5'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
2
5
HT : 1 4
FT Ochilview Park
  • Ruari Paton 28' goal
  • Barry Hepburn 52' goal
  • Will Tizzard 70' yellowcard
  • Louis Longridge 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Logan Chalmers 6'
  • goal Logan Chalmers 12'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 32'
  • goal Jamie Murphy 44'
  • goal Anton Dowds 53'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT