Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 2
Livingston

McLennan (42')
McLennan (34'), Dempsey (49'), Rus (67')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Muirhead (8'), Pittman (38')
Clarke (30'), Brandon (71'), Prior (84'), Nottingham (88')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Livingston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 2-1 Peterhead
Saturday, October 12 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Livingston 2-2 Inverness (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 12 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Livingston
50.34% ( 0.2)	24.87% ( 0.14)	24.79% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 52.05% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68% (

-0.82)

50.32% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73% (

-0.73)

72.27% (

0.73)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

-0.24)

20% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.81% (

-0.39)

52.18% (

0.39)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

-0.73)

34.94% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

-0.77)

71.68% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 50.33%

Livingston 24.79%

Draw 24.86%

Ayr United	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 50.33%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.79%