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Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 12, 2024 at 2pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Inverness CT

Livingston
2 - 2
Inverness

May (17'), Pittman (28')
Smith (26')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Allan (10'), Gilmour (30')
Gilmour (52')
Livingston win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Livingston and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 0-0 Livingston
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
49.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)25.02% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 49.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)53.95% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.4% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)21.98% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)55.28% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)36.72% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)73.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 49.13%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 25.02%
    Draw 25.83%
LivingstonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.13%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.02%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Fifth Round
Livingston
0-3
Inverness
Mckay (51', 80'), Welsh (62')
> Preview
Jul 12, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Livingston
1-2
Inverness
Holt (84')
Fitzwater (45'), Kelly (56')
Stryjek (59')
Samuels (37'), MacKay (67')
MacGregor (21'), Delaney (69'), Oakley (88')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Fifth Round
Inverness
1-0
Livingston
Welsh (61')
Tremarco (74'), Carson (90')

Lawless (45')
> Match Report
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Livingston
0-1
Inverness
Polworth (46')
Jan 2, 2018 3pm
Inverness
1-1
Livingston
Doran (6')
Polworth (36'), Vigurs (36'), Calder (81')
Vigurs (43')
Lithgow (82')
Gallagher (41'), Halkett (84')