Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
| 39.14% ( | 25.09% ( | 35.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( | 46.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( | 68.47% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( | 23.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( | 57.34% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( | 25.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( | 59.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.14% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.76% |