Airdrieonians
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians
1 - 1
East Kilbride

Gallagher (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGregor (39')
Robertson (43'), McGregor (48'), Connolly (68')
East Kilbride win 7-6 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Airdrieonians and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: East Kilbride 3-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ayr161.78Dowds
2Falkirk131.63Mackie
3Livingston101.25Pittman
4Hamilton91.00Shaw
5Queen's Park91.13Rudden
6Morton70.88Baird
7Partick60.75Fitzpatrick
8Airdrieonians50.63Reid
9Dunfermline50.63Otoo
10Raith Rovers50.63Easton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawEast Kilbride
40.45% (-1.162 -1.16)23.14% (0.108 0.11)36.41% (1.055 1.06)
Both teams to score 64.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (-0.353 -0.35)36.64% (0.353 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (-0.386 -0.39)58.8% (0.387 0.39)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.64400000000001 -0.64)18.63% (0.645 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-1.092 -1.09)49.94% (1.094 1.09)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (0.36699999999999 0.37)20.5% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (0.578 0.58)52.98% (-0.57700000000001 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 40.45%
    East Kilbride 36.41%
    Draw 23.14%
AirdrieoniansDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.153 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.188 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.41%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Airdrieonians
8-0
East Kilbride
Wilson (2' pen., 20', 34'), McGregor (9', 52', 53'), Armstrong (32'), Hancock (37')
Bruce (88')

Fagan (45'), Ferguson (61'), Bruce (70')
rhs 2.0


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