Scottish Challenge Cup
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-
John Robertson
1'
-
Sean Fagan
6'
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Joao Balde
12'
-
Lewis Spence
22'
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Jordan McGregor
50'
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Cameron Elliott
67'
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Jack Leitch
83'
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Ben Dempsey
9'
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George Oakley
16'
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Scott McMann
41'
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Jay Henderson
58'
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Marco Rus
64'
East Kilbride vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result
East Kilbride
31.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Ayr United
45.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
62.48%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
38.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
38.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
61.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
21.28%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
78.72%
▼
(-0.02)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5
75.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
24.43%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
41.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
58.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5
82.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
17.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
52.32%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
47.68%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
East Kilbride
31.02%
Draw
23.22%
Ayr United
45.75%
East Kilbride
2-1
@
7.37%
1-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.02%
1-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.02%
Draw
1-1
@
10.45%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.22%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.22%
Ayr United
1-2
@
9.17%
0-1 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 45.75%
0-1 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 45.75%