Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.40pm UK
K Park Training Academy
Ayr United

East Kilbride
3 - 2
Ayr

Robertson (1'), Balde (12'), Elliott (67')
Fagan (6'), Spence (22'), McGregor (50'), Leitch (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Henderson (58'), Rus (64')
Dempsey (9'), Oakley (16'), McMann (41')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between East Kilbride and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 East Kilbride (6-7 pen.)
Saturday, October 12 at 1.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Morton 1-1 Ayr
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
East KilbrideDrawAyr United
31.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)23.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.48% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (0.025999999999996 0.03)38.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (0.026000000000003 0.03)61.08% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.012999999999991 0.01)24.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)58.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (0.012 0.01)17.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.32% (0.020000000000003 0.02)47.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    East Kilbride 31.02%
    Ayr United 45.75%
    Draw 23.22%
East KilbrideDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.02%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: East Kilbride vs Ayr

East Kilbride
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Ayr United
60.0%
10