Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 12.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.