Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 2
Livingston

Rus (72')
McMann (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wilson (33'), Muirhead (90+6')
Prior (59'), Pittman (79')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Livingston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Falkirk 2-2 Ayr
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Livingston
36.18% ( -0.5)	26.57% ( 0.14)	37.26% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 52.33% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.42% (

-0.59)

52.58% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76% (

-0.5)

74.24% (

0.51)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

-0.57)

27.97% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

-0.73)

63.61% (

0.73)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

-0.07)

27.34% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

-0.09)

62.79% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 36.18%

Livingston 37.26%

Draw 26.56%

Ayr United	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.18%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.26%