Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21

Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
0 - 2
Ayr

Otoo (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Henderson (61'), Oakley (71')
Dempsey (50'), Agbaire (90')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Partick 1-4 Dunfermline
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 3-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
42.17% ( 0.13)	26.6% ( -0.18)	31.23% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.37% (

0.71)

53.63% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.87% (

0.6)

75.13% (

-0.61)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

0.39)

25.15% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

0.54)

59.87% (

-0.54)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31% (

0.4)

31.69% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89% (

0.46)

68.11% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 42.16%

Ayr United 31.23%

Draw 26.6%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.16%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.23%