Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Raith Rovers

Ayr
3 - 0
Raith Rovers

Oakley (2', 12', 25')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Last Game: Ayr 0-0 Morton
Saturday, December 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-1 Livingston
Saturday, December 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
49.66% (0.176 0.18)25.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)25.19% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.56% (-0.294 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.293 -0.29)51.15% (0.289 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27% (-0.256 -0.26)73% (0.253 0.25)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)20.61% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.07 -0.07)53.16% (0.067 0.07)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95% (-0.334 -0.33)35.05% (0.33199999999999 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-0.353 -0.35)71.8% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 49.66%
    Raith Rovers 25.19%
    Draw 25.15%
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.66%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 25.19%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Raith Rovers
2-0
Ayr
Jamieson (19', 43')
Easton (23'), Stevenson (64'), Brown (75')

McLennan (45+2')
Sep 8, 2024 1pm
Third Round
Ayr
3-2
Raith Rovers
Dowds (49' pen., 69'), Oakley (70')
Dowds (78')
Smith (11'), Easton (15')
Gibson (18'), Matthews (40')
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Ayr
2-0
Raith Rovers
Dowds (40' pen.), Walker (90')
Stanger (45+1')

Easton (33'), Matthews (65'), Connolly (88')
Byrne (38')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Raith Rovers
2-1
Ayr
Easton (45+2'), Hamilton (65' pen.)
Easton (67'), Byrne (68')
Chalmers (55')
McAllister (6'), Sanders (71')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ayr
1-2
Raith Rovers
Syla (11')
McKenzie (15'), Dempsey (36')
Rudden (5'), Vaughan (45+2')
Brown (88'), Brown (88')