Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 55.4% ( | 25.19% ( | 19.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.14% ( | 56.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( | 77.78% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( | 20.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( | 53.04% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.01% ( | 43.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( | 80.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 4-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.39% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-2 @ 3.82% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.41% |